Set Pieces Analysis

Long Throw-Ins as Tactical Weapons: Arsenal and Brentford Case Studies

January 2025
6 min read
Set Pieces xG Analysis

Statistical breakdown of how long throw-ins create 0.15+ xG per attempt. Analysis of receiver positioning, defensive structure breakdowns, and second-ball dominance in final third scenarios.

The Renaissance of Long Throw-Ins

In modern football's obsession with intricate build-up play and positional superiority, one of the oldest tactical weapons has been quietly revolutionizing attacking approaches: the long throw-in. Teams like Arsenal and Brentford have transformed what was once considered a "hoof and hope" tactic into a sophisticated, data-backed attacking pattern that generates Expected Goals (xG) values comparable to well-worked corner routines.

Recent data from the 2023/24 Premier League season reveals that long throw-ins into the penalty area create an average of 0.15-0.18 xG per attempt — significantly higher than the 0.03 xG from standard throw-ins and approaching the 0.22 xG average of corner kicks.

Key Statistics

0.15+
xG per long throw-in
38%
Conversion to shots
62%
Second-ball wins

Arsenal's Systematic Approach

Under Mikel Arteta, Arsenal have weaponized long throw-ins through meticulous planning and execution. The Gunners employ a specialist thrower rotation system, primarily utilizing players with elite upper-body strength and technique to deliver balls into dangerous zones with pace and accuracy.

Tactical Setup

  • Target Zones: Arsenal predominantly target the 6-yard box front post area (42% of throws) and the penalty spot zone (31%)
  • Player Positioning: Minimum 3 attackers attack the ball, 2 positioned for second balls, 1 remains outside the box for clearances
  • Movement Patterns: Coordinated runs create space through defensive line manipulation - typically a decoy run to the near post opens space for the genuine target

Arsenal's success rate has been remarkable: in the 2023/24 season, they generated 18 shots directly from long throw-ins, converting 4 into goals. Their xG per throw-in averaged 0.21 — higher than their corner kick average of 0.19.

Brentford's Statistical Edge

Brentford have taken the data-driven approach to its logical extreme. Their recruitment specifically identifies players with long-throw capability as a secondary attribute, and their training ground features dedicated throw-in practice sessions that mirror their set-piece preparation.

Offensive Impact

  • • 23 goal-scoring chances created
  • • 6 goals scored directly
  • • Average throw distance: 32 meters
  • • Success rate: 44% result in shot attempt

Second-Ball Dominance

  • • 68% second-ball retention
  • • Average 2.1 progressive passes after throw
  • • Creates overloads in attacking third
  • • Forces opponents into reactive defending

The Bees' approach focuses heavily on second-ball dominance. Rather than targeting primary aerial duels, they position multiple players to contest clearances and loose balls, effectively creating a mini-pressing situation within the penalty area.

Defensive Countermeasures

As long throw-ins become more sophisticated, defensive responses have evolved. Elite teams now employ specific strategies to neutralize this threat:

Zonal Marking Hybrid

Combining zone coverage of dangerous areas with man-marking of dangerous aerial threats reduces conversion rates by approximately 28%

Aggressive Goalkeeper Positioning

Keepers starting 2-3 yards off their line can claim or punch 41% more long throws compared to standard positioning

Second-Ball Numerical Superiority

Positioning 4+ players outside the penalty area for clearances disrupts the attacking team's second-ball strategy

Scout's Analysis

The tactical renaissance of long throw-ins represents modern football's capacity for innovation within established rules. What separates elite execution from amateur attempts is the systematic approach: dedicated training, specific personnel recruitment, coordinated movement patterns, and data-backed target zone selection.

For recruitment purposes, identifying players with elite throw-in capability (30+ meters with accuracy) should be considered a valuable secondary attribute, particularly for teams operating in leagues where physicality is prevalent. The 0.15+ xG per attempt metric makes this a statistically significant offensive weapon that deserves dedicated training ground attention.

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